Assessment Methodology
ISO 22301:2019
CHARIS implements a Business Continuity Management System (BCMS) aligned to ISO 22301:2019, specifically clauses 8.2 (Business Impact Analysis) and 8.4 (Business Continuity Strategies). Each trigger represents a disruption condition with a defined activation threshold. Trigger status is assessed on a strict binary basis (BREACHED / NOT BREACHED) — no partial or conditional statuses are used.
Thresholds are set deliberately high because a BREACHED status represents a formal activation decision. Situational awareness, concern, and emerging risks are communicated through the narrative commentary, not through trigger status. A false positive (BREACHED when the formal threshold is not met) is treated as equally harmful as a false negative, as it triggers unnecessary and costly business continuity activation.
Your risk assessment is tailored to your organisation's specific threat profile. The triggers you select determine what is monitored and what constitutes a breach. Two organisations operating in the same country may receive different risk classifications based on their operational priorities and risk tolerance. The system is calibrated for international business operations (corporate, professional, expatriate personnel) in the Middle East.
Per-Country, Per-Direction Trigger Selection
Triggers are split into two independent directions. LEAVE triggers (T1–T21) measure conditions that argue for evacuation or restricted operations. ENTER triggers (R1–R15) measure conditions that argue for re-entry or resumption. You can enable each trigger as LEAVE-only, ENTER-only, BOTH, or off, and the choice is made per country. A trigger tagged BOTH on a country is counted in both the LEAVE classification and the ENTER readiness scale for that country, in parallel.
A country's LEAVE risk is the percentage of its active LEAVE triggers that are currently breached. A country's re-entry readiness is the percentage of its active ENTER triggers that are currently met. Triggers you have not enabled for a country in a given direction are excluded from that direction's denominator. If you have no active LEAVE triggers for a country, its LEAVE posture is reported as N/A rather than defaulting to STABLE; the same applies to ENTER (no default to READY or GO).
BOTH-tag scoring: a single trigger tagged BOTH on a country counts once in that country's LEAVE denominator and once in its ENTER denominator, and its breach status contributes to each direction independently — there is no double-weighting and no offset between the two scales.
Posture Model
Each monitored country sits in one of two postures at any time. In a crisis posture the LEAVE classification table is the active scale and ENTER readiness is reported in parallel for forward planning. In a recovery posture the ENTER readiness table is the active scale and the LEAVE classification continues to run as a guard against fresh disruption. The posture is set per country, follows the dominant direction of the most recent assessments, and does not change which triggers are evaluated — only which classification table is treated as the headline reading for that country.
LEAVE Risk Classification
Percent of active LEAVE triggers breached, evaluated per country.
| Level | % of Active LEAVE Breached | Recommendation |
|---|---|---|
| EXTREME | ≥70% | Evacuate |
| HIGH | 40–70% | Consider Evacuation |
| ELEVATED | 20–40% | Prepare for Activation |
| STABLE | <20% | Routine Monitoring |
Re-Entry Readiness Classification
Percent of active ENTER triggers met, evaluated per country.
| Level | % of Active ENTER Met | Recommendation |
|---|---|---|
| GO | ≥75% | Resume Operations |
| READY | 50–75% | Prepare Re-Entry |
| WATCH | 25–50% | Monitor Closely |
| NOT READY | <25% | Hold Position |
Data Sources
CHARIS assessments are powered by Sicuro Group LLC curated tracker feeds, spanning government advisories, state news agencies, defense and security, interior and civil defense, airspace and border status, and humanitarian and international sources actively monitored across the 16 covered Middle East countries.
Assessments are indicative only and should be verified against live operational conditions before making decisions. Conditions may have changed since your last assessment was generated.
Operational Notes
Assessment Schedule: assessments run automatically at 06:00 GST daily. Configuration Changes: changes to your country selections or trigger templates are saved immediately but take effect from the next scheduled assessment cycle. Initial Baseline: when you first configure your monitoring profile, an initial baseline assessment is generated automatically.
Legal Disclaimer
Assessments generated by CHARIS are indicative only and are provided for informational purposes as one input to organisational decision-making. They do not constitute professional security advice, legal counsel, or an instruction to act. Users must verify all information independently and consult qualified professionals before making operational decisions. Sicuro Group LLC accepts no liability for any loss, damage, or consequence arising from reliance on CHARIS assessments. Use of this platform constitutes acceptance of these terms.